Wednesday, July 15, 2015

With a $42 Billion defense budget, is Japan a hawk in dove's clothing?

An informative piece. I didn't know that Japan was a pacifist nation but then still spends $42 Billion on its defense budget & a naval force more powerful than China's.

South China Sea & Eastern Europe are the next 2 battlegrounds for US & its allies. With everyone beefing up their military muscles, this is not going to be a great world to be living in the next 10-20 years. There might not be another nuclear war, but more than enough armament at hand, politicians being pressured by military hawks to use that armament pile their countries have built up, & a decreasing war-time casualty rate due to drones will make it seem like a nuclear war happening all around the world.

Wishing for peace in this world is only that; a wish. The world may seem "modern" to a naïve person, but it seems to me, that humans are regressing towards a cavemen mentality. Technology has only made it easier to attack another human or nation, just like a club or any other piece of ancient war-time technology made it easier for a caveman to attack its fellow being.

The humans & hence, the world, are definitely not moving towards a bright future for this planet. Perhaps, that's why, the rich are exploring ways to emigrate from this planet (e.g. Virgin Galactic) & Hollywood keep peddling movies where the Earth has been abandoned because of environmental disasters.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------



Japan’s identity as a pacifist nation, as defined by Article 9 of its constitution, is increasingly at odds with reality. The Japanese Naval Self-Defense Force is the second-most powerful naval force in the region, trailing only its close ally, the US Navy. Japan has the seventh-largest defense budget in the world; its Ministry of Defense is the largest department in the entire Japanese government.
 
Strategically, a strong Japanese military allows the US — a close ally of Japan’s — to maintain distance from any military confrontation with China over territorial claims. It deprives China of the argument that the US is neither a party to the dispute, nor native to the region. The problem for the US lies in convincing allies, especially South Korea, that an increasingly robust Japanese military does not risk a return to Japanese imperialism.
 
Article 9 of the Japanese Constitution, adopted in 1947, forbids Japan from having “land, sea, & air forces, as well as other war potential.” The article established Japan as a pacifist nation, but in 1950 change was already needed, as the US deployed its troops from Japan to Korea and left Japan defenseless. To counter this vulnerability, General Douglas MacArthur authorized the establishment of national defense forces to protect the Japanese home islands. Reinterpretations have continued ever since, to the point that the Japanese Self-Defense Forces are an army, a navy & an air force in all but name.
 
For all of the reinterpretations, Japanese forces remained confined to Japanese home territories without much change until 1992. At that time, Japanese embarrassment over being unable to contribute anything but financial support to Operation Desert Storm led to the passage of a law reinterpreting Article 9 to allow the Japan Self-Defense Forces (JSDF) to take part in U.N. peacekeeping operations.
 
In 2004, Japan sent troops to Iraq to conduct humanitarian relief, where they were only allowed to fire if fired upon, & were not permitted to come to the aid of other coalition troops under attack. The cloak of pacifism, though markedly smaller, still adequately covered all sensitive aspects of the JSDF. But in the last few years, most of the remaining cover has been pulled away.
 
Last year the Japanese government adopted a new law, reinterpreting Article 9 yet again, this time to allow for “collective self-defense.” Japanese forces can now be deployed to assist allies under attack. While the US & the Philippines welcomed this development, other countries in the region were less than enthusiastic. It is no surprise that China, which has long criticized Japan for not adequately acknowledging & repudiating its past atrocities, objected to this change. But a sharp negative response from US ally South Korea must have rattled US military planners. Even Australia, generally in lock-step with US defense policies, gave a tepid response.
 
Already, the widening scope of the Japanese military is changing the defense landscape in the region. Japan has negotiated agreements to cooperate with Vietnam & the Philippines in conducting naval exercises & patrolling disputed areas in the South China Sea, which should give China pause as it considers its next steps in the region.
 
These agreements continue to stretch the envelope of collective self-defense. Protecting allies from bullying is a far cry from aiding allies in a war. The US & Japan are walking a fine line, as the US encourages Japan to be a greater participant in defense issues, well beyond limits on collective self-defense expressed just months ago, while not raising the specter of a Japanese return to militarism.
 
Japanese Prime Minister Abe has long advocated changing the Japanese Constitution to allow Japan to become a “normal” nation, with a military matching its economic & diplomatic instruments of power. While he is unable to say it out loud, the christening of the Izumo warship last month has normalized Japanese naval power to a great degree. The Izumo is an indigenously developed helicopter-carrying destroyer, & the largest vessel in the Japanese fleet. The Japanese are careful not to call it a carrier, which would make it an offensive weapons system, but in size & capacity, it is very similar to a US Marine Corps’ helicopter carrier. While currently slated to carry only general purpose helicopters, the Izumo could be modified to handle attack helicopters, the V-22 Osprey tilt-rotor aircraft, or even the F-35B, the Marines’ vertical short takeoff & landing version of the new fighter. Configured in this way, the Izumo would be a clear match for China’s lone aircraft carrier.
 
Today, Japan’s cloak of pacifism has been reduced to little more than a fig leaf. The Japanese are developing capabilities that allow it to fight any adversary. The fig leaf will soon be gone.

No comments:

Post a Comment